Home› GCSE & FSMQ› Maths› Probability

Probability

Shares its weighting with Statistics, so together they are about a sixth of the paper at both tiers. Probability questions are often the most self-contained on the paper — a student can gain marks here without needing much else to be secure, which makes it a good early confidence win.

Share of the Foundation paper~7%
Share of the Higher paper~7%
Topics13 · 10 both tiers, 3 Higher only
Published0 of 13

Probability and Statistics share this weighting between them. Weightings are approximate and vary slightly by board. They describe the whole tier rather than any single paper.

01

The probability scale

Notation and describing likelihood

Coming soonFound. & Higher
02

Probability of single events

Working from equally likely outcomes

Coming soonFound. & Higher
03

Relative frequency

Experimental probability

Coming soonFound. & Higher
04

Expected outcomes

Predicting results over many trials

Coming soonFound. & Higher
05

Sample space diagrams

Listing all possible outcomes

Coming soonFound. & Higher
06

Two-way tables

Reading and completing them

Coming soonFound. & Higher
07

Frequency trees

Organising counts through two stages

Coming soonFound. & Higher
08

Tree diagrams

Independent events with replacement

Coming soonFound. & Higher
09

Mutually exclusive events

Probabilities that sum to one

Coming soonFound. & Higher
10

Venn diagrams and set notation

Union, intersection and complement

Coming soonFound. & Higher
11

Conditional probability

When one event affects another

Coming soonHigher only
12

Tree diagrams without replacement

Changing denominators between stages

Coming soonHigher only
13

Probability from Venn diagrams

Conditional questions from a diagram

Coming soonHigher only

Need this section explained properly?

Small groups of no more than 5, arranged by ability. Founding member price £35 a lesson, held for the first year. The first lesson is a free trial.